jeffmorford

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BASEBALL

Don't Worry Tigers Fans
Don’t Worry Tigers Fans

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Even if the Indians have a higher chance to win each game they only have a 1/4 chance to catch Detroit.
Even if the Indians have a higher chance to win each game they only have a 1/4 chance to catch Detroit.

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The Indians have less than a 1/10 chance if the teams are equally likely to win each game.
The Indians have less than a 1/10 chance if the teams are equally likely to win each game.

Since Detroit is probably more likely to win each remaining game the Indians chance is probably more like the 1 in 40 Baseball Prospectus gives them.

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